The People's Pundit Locals Community Zoom Meetup for May 20, 2021, will be held at 4:00 PM EST. Discussion will include the vote in the U.S. House to establish a January 6 Commission, why Republicans in Washington are far more disconnected and less representative than state and local Republicans, and more.
Will be posting the link and meeting info for Zoom shortly!
P.S. Yes, I'm reporting this because we didn't notify users of the last post.
The People's Pundit Locals Community Meetup for May 20, 2021, will be held at 4:00 PM EST. Discussion will include the vote in the U.S. House to establish a January 6 Commission, why Republicans in Washington are far more disconnected and less representative than state and local Republicans, and more.
Will be posting the link and meeting info for Zoom shortly.!
Thanks to @RobertBarnes for the show today. Neither one of us thought we were going to have that much time, but glad we did so that we could make up some of last week to our communities!
Watch Live 2:00 PM EST — @RobertBarnes I are back to discuss the latest in politics and the economy! Too many topics, so little time. Don't miss it!
Watch Live 11:00 AM EST — On Inside The Numbers, The People's Pundit Rich Baris discusses the declining economic situation, the status on election reforms across the states, the breakdown of peace in the Middle East, and more.
Thursday appears to have won, though many are wondering about the time. I was thinking about the same time as the show, say 11am est.
How’s that sound?
Feeling better today, too. Thanks for the well wishes. I may need to make a few comments about this pipeline sooner rather than later.
Let’s do this the easy way!
Tuesday or Thursday?
Reply with which day you prefer for the Proto Zoom Meet-up.
Quick note on the show, I didn’t get back in time today. But we are doing something to make this up. Talking to Laura now about the best time.
Watch Live 11:00 AM EST — On Inside The Numbers, we will discuss the Rasmussen jobs market index alongside the Big Data Poll Registered Voter Economic Confidence Index, lying jurors, and more!
Link to the Big Data Poll Registered Voter Economic Confidence Index to be provided shortly in chat and follow up.
I'll keep this brief and we'll give our take afterwards. It's typically not a good sign to see the jury reach a verdict that quickly, meaning for them to not give deliberation what it deserves when someone's life is on the line.
In this mini episode of Inside The Numbers, we discuss polling results nationally and in key battleground states showing conclusively — voters do NOT support Democrats' plans for DC statehood. The proposal would result in adding two U.S. Senate seats and representation in the U.S. House for Washington, D.C.
What Are the Odds? will be on tomorrow. Robert and I had a scheduling conflict. BUT... we're going to do a quick mini-episode of Inside The Numbers shortly. Partly, we need to test. But I'd like to talk about the House moving to pass statehood for DC, which is something we polled everywhere and can talk about.
Stay tuned for the link!
As @RWDS asked, we are having a free-wheeling Friday today. Show has been sporadic this week because of the speech and those tech issues earlier in the week. I didn't want to rush it and have another bomb. But Don Smith is on standby for later today and we're hoping to get one on air shortly to talk gun control, what happened with O'Keefe and more.
Folks, am I missing something, someone asked for? I nested vaccination status by race and income, which was requested at the end of the show yesterday. We got the transgender questions, etc. But I feel like I’m missing something.
Hey folks, I have a speech today as many of you know, and I’m thinking it’s best not to do the show beforehand. Let’s see if we can get one in afterwards around 3, maybe 3:30?
This is what we've become, folks.
Here we have Steak-umm — yes, as in the sandwich meat — educating Neil deGrasse Tyson on the real meaning of the most misused word of the year, "science".
Steak-umm is right. The SCIENTIST, is wrong.
Watch Live 3:00 PM EST — Robert Barnes and Rich Baris discuss in detail bombshell results within the Public Polling Project for Early Spring 2021, and more civil unrest amid the trial of Derek Chauvin for the death of George Floyd.
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Watch LIVE 2:00 PM EST — @RobertBarnes and I discuss in detail bombshell results within the Public Polling Project for Early Spring 2021, and rising civil unrest amid the trial of Derek Chauvin for the death of George Floyd.
On the other question(s) surrounding disparities in comfort levels by region AND ideology, it very clearly favors a Democratic skew. How do we know?
When we nest comfort levels by gender, area AND ideology, liberals are overall more likely to say they're comfortable sharing their beliefs than moderates and conservatives, particularly when you consider how many in total are found in each area type.
For instance, checking out the chart below:
1) while liberals in rural areas don't appear to differ all that much in the "very uncomfortable" variable, they differ significantly on "somewhat uncomfortable", and
2) are a much smaller total number as a group than conservatives in rural areas vs. liberals in urban areas, and
3) the disparity between the 28.3% of rural conservatives being "very uncomfortable" vs. the 14.2% of urban liberals is enough to cause a real problem, let alone the significant disparity between the two ideologies in the "somewhat uncomfortable" variable, and
4) those problems are both compounded by suburban and rural conservatives being far more uncomfortable than suburban and rural liberals.
Our new survey findings nationally are consistent with the findings in the battleground states we gauged pre-election for the Public Polling Project.
The potential for social desirability bias is very clear.
Females are generally less comfortable sharing political views with family/friends/neighbors/co-workers/strangers/pollsters, but RURAL and SUBURBAN women are much more likely than their male counterparts to express discomfort.
This potential problem is compounded by a response bias that actually favors females, meaning they're more likely to participate in surveys and less likely to tell you the truth — or the whole truth — during the interview.
This is groundbreaking stuff we're doing together, folks. The entire crosstabulation for "Comfortable Sharing Political Beliefs" is linked below and can be found on Sheet 5, but check out the attached graphic.
Watch LIVE 11:00 AM EST — On #InsideTheNumbers, we discuss more results of the Public Polling Project for Early Spring 2021, specifically voters' views of Joe Biden and UFO sightings, belief in extraterrestrial life in the universe, and more!
Hey folks, we'll have a show in the afternoon today. Baby has an appointment and I figures we'll wait for Laura so that we can better interact.
We updated the prior crosstabs to include crosstabulation for nearly everything else. Just a few things still need to be added, i.e. Biden, Harris, the Registered Voter Economic Confidence Index, etc.
WATCH LIVE 11:00 AM EST — On #InsideTheNumbers, we discuss the results of the Public Polling Project for Early Spring 2021, specifically election reforms at a more granular level.
Crosstabs for today's discussion: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1s-4DraBJMPXG_B4NyaM6_rvD8KsEMjAqa6k0eNBxK1Q/edit?usp=sharing
Joe Biden's approval rating is slightly above water, but tenuous and flimsy. The intensity index is negative and his support is very soft, meaning more strongly disapprove than strongly approve, and much of his approval is "somewhat".
He has slipped badly on immigration and border security (-11). Roughly 4 in 10 registered voters "strongly disapprove" of his job on this issue, and only 15% "strongly approve"
I'll be adding more on this post and attaching images, etc.
Wanted to wish everyone a Happy Easter!
I also received several requests to check out the national survey questionnaire. Typically, I'd release it afterward, but I'll put the actual link here. You can take it for the experience if you'd like. We'd filter out responses by domains so that those responses can be separated.
We're moving forward with conducting a survey on the California recall effort and — thus far — will include the following topics:
Governor Gavin Newsom's approval rating
Voting preference on whether to recall Governor Gavin Newsom: Yes/No
California voters' views on Republican alternatives currently named as potential candidates, and viability of those candidates.
Let's hear those suggestions on what else to include on the questionnaire!
UPDATE: As we add more questions, I'll edit the post here.
Additions: Social desirability bias testing; right track/wrong track; whether voters are either considering leaving California or would if they could; education re: Covid and unions.
I just wanted to say that I notice how many of you who are paid supporters in this community also contributed to the Public Polling Project.
Basically, I want to acknowledge that added support, and tell you how appreciated it is over here. I know these aren’t great times, and that it takes a commitment to do that.
The more I ponder it, and what we did together in 2020, the more important I think it is to continue in the future.
Anyway, thanks everyone.
Thanks to everyone who supported and shared the Public Polling Project throughout the show, and to those who did so before this show!
We're having a nice run, and hopefully addressed some of the issues from the feedback we received over the weekend. Basically, there were two options for credit cards and it was showing twice. That's handled, and nobody seems to be having an issue from that point on.
We're well on our way!
Our research shows jurors don’t simply deliberate based on facts and argument; jurors deliberate based on their perception of the facts and arguments. The juror’s belief system dictates the various ways that particular juror perceives facts and arguments. https://www.bigdatapoll.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/Survey-Guidelines-for-Jury-Research.pdf
Watch Live 2:00 PM EST (PPD) — Robert Barnes and Rich Baris discuss myriad topics heading into one of the craziest weeks of the Biden Administration, and much more!
TUNE IN: Before Inside The Numbers, I'm joining Steve Bannon right now to talk about the polling project and recent polling! https://pandemic.warroom.org/listen-live/
As the title and @LauraBaris said, we're moving Inside The Numbers to Noon so that I can do a spot on War Room with Steve, which is a very important segment. Don't miss either!
Watch Live 11:00 AM EST (PPD) — On Inside The Numbers, Rich discusses how it's back to business as usual under Joe Biden, plus Congressional Leaders Favorable/Unfavorable Ratings, Friday Q&A and more!
"Big Data Poll Director Richard Baris slammed a CNBC economic survey arguing that President Joe Biden won an initial approval rating that topped the first ratings of the last four presidents." https://www.newsbusters.org/blogs/business/joseph-vazquez/2021/02/19/exclusive-pollster-richard-baris-rips-flawed-cnbc-econ
Housing Indicators Were Crushing Pre-Pandemic Levels and Post-Pandemic Expectations Under Trump... Now, Not So Much... Housing Market Follows Other Sectors Into Weaker Trend https://ppdnews.us/VkfXWHm
It appears we have an issue with our native live stream. Can't wait for the option here on locals. But I think we'll make a private stream on YouTube, which we'll link here, and enable Live Chat.
But we're happy with what it's looking like thus far.
So, today was a royal pain in the @$$, but I think we're ready to give it a whirl. Thinking around 11 AM or so, we'll post a link just here for you to watch the inner machinations of us trying to figure out guests and new effects.
We'll enable the live chat for questions, etc. Might as well turn it into a mini Q&A, right?
See you then!
Watch Live 2:00 PM EST (PPD) — Robert Barnes and Rich Baris discuss the acceleration of authoritarianism in America. Plus, the politics of impeachment and more!
I also forgot to mention you can catch me on Charlie Kirk today at 2:15 pm EST.
Took me a bit to recover from that last one. Must’ve been because it was back to back red eye. Never understood how Trump could keep the schedule he did, by the way, and I’m much younger.
Anyway, when Laura gets in, we’re doing a video on the Battle for the Republican Party and legislative agenda items by the Democratic Congress.
Watch Live NOW — On Inside The Numbers, Rich discusses the fascist-like collaboration between government, corporations, big media and entertainment. Plus, we'll discuss new approval ratings for @GavinNewsom in California!
TUNE IN: Joining Steve Bannon on War Room to discuss exit poll analysis and Biden approval among union members. https://pandemic.warroom.org/
TUNE IN: About to join Don for our weekly recap. https://www.blogtalkradio.com/the-don-smith-show/2021/01/30/gordon-chang-on-china-ppd-editor-richard-baris
Watch Live 11:30 AM EST (PPD) — On Inside The Numbers, Rich discusses Melvin Capital, and how Wall Street, K Street, big media and big government rig the system.
Watch Live 11:30 AM EST (PPD) — On Inside The Numbers, Rich discusses the lessons of Election 2020 and the future of the Republican Party.
Listen now: Steve and I will talk about the latest polls on War Room! https://pandemic.warroom.org/
I'll be joining Steve Bannon on War Room this morning at 11 EST to discuss the slew of fake polls from incompetent pollsters over the last week or so.
Jobless claims soared 181,000 for January 9, the latest in a slew of key economic indicators to take a negative turn ahead of the inauguration of Joe Biden.
In February 2017, Dow Chemical CEO Andrew Liveris said that the Trump Administration is “probably the most pro-business administration since the founding fathers.”
Small businesses agreed, and it fueled historic levels of optimism and activity.
Now, people and their wallets are going to be tested again, which is why "leadership" in D.C. want to ensure Donald Trump or someone else like him cannot/will not run, ever again.
They're still failures who cannot improve the lives of Americans.
That has not changed, and it never will.
Small Business Optimism Falls Below Historic Average for First Time Since 1973 After Record-Setting Run Under Trump (Jeff Bezos Is Stoked!) https://ppdnews.us/x84Dz6s