Hey folks,
The University of Louisville updated its study on the effectiveness of mask mandates. You might remember this was a central piece of data in our Mask Mandate War with leftwing "data gurus" who allowed their ideology to atrophy their mathematic skills.
People's Pundit's Bottom Line: Mask mandates don't work. This group of researchers believed that they did, and hypothesized as much. Their initial findings did NOT support mask mandates, and now that they have followed up on that research, they're reaffirming those conclusions with new data.
Methods:
We calculated total COVID-19 case growth and mask
use for the continental United States with data from the Centers
for Disease Control and Prevention and Institute for Health
Metrics and Evaluation. We estimated post-mask mandate case
growth in non-mandate states using median issuance dates of
neighboring states with mandates.
Results:
Earlier mask mandates were not associated with lower
total cases or lower maximum growth rates. Earlier mandates
were weakly associated with lower minimum COVID-19
growth rates. Mask use predicted lower minimum but not lower
maximum growth rates. Growth rates and total growth were
comparable between US states in the first and last mask use
quintiles during the Fall-Winter wave. These observations
persisted for both natural logarithmic and fold growth models and
when adjusting for differences in US state population density.
Conclusions:
We did not observe association between mask
mandates or use and reduced COVID-19 spread in US states.
COVID-19 mitigation requires further research and use of
existing efficacious strategies, most notably vaccination.
I feel like tearing off my clothes and dancing in the rain (snow on Tuesday). Ofc I'm entirely too old to do that. But...
We were SO right.
Here's Snoop, who rapped "F--K Donald Trump" in 2017, now performing at a Trump supporting inauguration party.
Watch Live 3:00 PM EST — Robert Barnes and Rich Baris discuss in detail bombshell results within the Public Polling Project for Early Spring 2021, and more civil unrest amid the trial of Derek Chauvin for the death of George Floyd.
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Watching people attempt to "unskew" polls conducted by all walks of this industry—ranging from Nate Cohn at The New York Times to Spencer Kimball at Emerson College to Tim Malloy at Quinnipiac—all to deny Donald Trump's gains against Joe Biden with various voting blocs, is more than a little sad.
The slew of recent polls over two weeks—to include no less than four today alone—have simply confirmed prior findings published from other pollsters who have previously been "unskewed". That includes your's truly and our work at BIG DATA POLL, Mark Penn at Harvard University, Patrick Ruffini at Echelon Insights, and many others.
I'm temped to equate this with an Occam's razor-like situation. But this debate is more about likelihood than simplicity.
Here's the Presidential Vote Preference Trend for Biden v. Trump going back to August 2020. The Public Polling Project did not begin asking the Rematch Question for 2024 until September 2021. However, we can still make some pretty important and interesting observations.