Hey folks,
First of all, Happy Mother's Day to all our Moms! I hope you all enjoy the day because you deserve it.
That said, I cannot host the Book Club and either take some away from their Mother's Day or cause them to miss it, including Laura. I was going to do it initially, but it would not be right.
On Georgia, the number one question on everyone's mind is whether Brian Kemp is above 50%. By the end of the day, we'll know more. But it does not appear we will have him closer to 60% like everyone else. The raw is much more moderate and educated than the expected electorate and it's still very close.
David Perdue is most definitely behind. That's not the question. It's about whether he can hold Kemp below 50%.
I feel like tearing off my clothes and dancing in the rain (snow on Tuesday). Ofc I'm entirely too old to do that. But...
We were SO right.
Here's Snoop, who rapped "F--K Donald Trump" in 2017, now performing at a Trump supporting inauguration party.
Watch Live 3:00 PM EST — Robert Barnes and Rich Baris discuss in detail bombshell results within the Public Polling Project for Early Spring 2021, and more civil unrest amid the trial of Derek Chauvin for the death of George Floyd.
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Watching people attempt to "unskew" polls conducted by all walks of this industry—ranging from Nate Cohn at The New York Times to Spencer Kimball at Emerson College to Tim Malloy at Quinnipiac—all to deny Donald Trump's gains against Joe Biden with various voting blocs, is more than a little sad.
The slew of recent polls over two weeks—to include no less than four today alone—have simply confirmed prior findings published from other pollsters who have previously been "unskewed". That includes your's truly and our work at BIG DATA POLL, Mark Penn at Harvard University, Patrick Ruffini at Echelon Insights, and many others.
I'm temped to equate this with an Occam's razor-like situation. But this debate is more about likelihood than simplicity.
Here's the Presidential Vote Preference Trend for Biden v. Trump going back to August 2020. The Public Polling Project did not begin asking the Rematch Question for 2024 until September 2021. However, we can still make some pretty important and interesting observations.