Hey folks,
I've got a few things to say about the Pennsylvania Senate race. I know Republicans have to basically make a terrible decision. Everyone almost universally wanted Sean Parnell, but will now have to choose between Dr. Oz, McCormick or the new flavor of the month, Kathy Barnette.
I am causing a stir because I defended Sean Parnell, who authored an op-ed that says nobody knows much about Barnette, which led to questions surrounding her military record and other issues.
It is not unfair to require verification of claims made by candidates. Many things are simply not adding up.
The military claims, I strongly suspect, are bullshit. First, it's "Officer Candidate School", not "Officer Candidacy School" as it states on her website. Secondly, Reserve or not, attendees are placed on Active Duty status for mundane initial training. It requires only 90 days of consecutive active duty to qualify for a DD 214.
Regardless, her website bio claims she served for 10 years. Even if we accept what she's given to friendly social media accounts instead of requesting media, her record only accounts for 7, and she was only E4, certainly not an OCS grad.
Candidates are obligated to respond to media making valid requests to verify their claims. To pretend we're all attacking her for it, is BULLSHIT.
There are also many, many prior statements that would seem to suggest she very much disliked Donald Trump and thought he was a joke. In another, she appears to attack DOMA (Defense of Marriage Act). Gay marriage has never been my hill to die on, but then again, I'm not pretending it ever was.
Democrats are going to find some extremely Islamophobic statements and they're going to pound her with it.
Point being, this star rose very quickly on the back on one good debate performance and she was NOT vetted properly to ensure she would be a viable nominee for Republicans this fall. My gut, which has served me well in politics for a LONG time, is telling me that this smoke leads to fire and that fire leads to a lost Senate race.
I feel like tearing off my clothes and dancing in the rain (snow on Tuesday). Ofc I'm entirely too old to do that. But...
We were SO right.
Here's Snoop, who rapped "F--K Donald Trump" in 2017, now performing at a Trump supporting inauguration party.
Watch Live 3:00 PM EST — Robert Barnes and Rich Baris discuss in detail bombshell results within the Public Polling Project for Early Spring 2021, and more civil unrest amid the trial of Derek Chauvin for the death of George Floyd.
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Theme Song: "Highway" By Grammy Considered Bowen Band
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Kennedy's out there doing gods work.
Crushing hospital incentives to mandate doctors/nurses get covid vaxxed.
RFK Jr whole HHS team💪
BTFOs whole med superstructure🤣
Rest of the admin👎
https://x.com/SecKennedy/status/1951372406968164599?t=giU1xvoiHjQnvmgMHzrS3g&s=19
I wonder sometimes if Trump likes getting his ass kicked nationally and worldwide🤔
He COULD have this success too!!
I worked as a bouncer when I was young (I was 6'1" and 250lbs so avg large but nothing special) and big guys are used to being big and so they get a certain amount of prestige without ever having to prove themselves a threat. I found that if I gave big guys a chance to back down without losing face the vast majority would see the wisdom in that path.
The whole reason Russia has been slow rolling the Ukraine war has been to give Trump an easy out and the stupid arrogant ass cannot see it. I will bet any amount of money that Trump has never in his life been in a real fist fight and yet he is trying to intimidate a man who even though he is half Trump's size he would physically level Trump in a actual fight. And then back that up with Russia having More missiles that are newer technology than the USA.
Like in the movie "WARGAMES" the only way to win is to NOT play the game.
Pray that someone with sense can talk it into Trump...
*I would put money on Putin kicking my ass too, but I ...
TROUBLE IN UTAH: AAG Dhillon DEMANDS VOTER REGISTRATION FILES FROM LT. GOV. DEIDRE
Buhaha. Let the games begin.
Follow this thread: https://x.com/AndrewPiskadlo/status/1951451189746475310
I walk through exactly what DOJ is alleging—and what Utah’s been hiding.
Deidre Henderson has until July 29 to cough up:
Full statewide voter file
Duplicate & invalid registrants
Breakdown of non-citizen, felony, and incompetency flags
Data Utah falsely reported to the feds (263.7% removal discrepancy)
📄 DOJ letter:
All attached
📊 Removal data (EAVS):
Utah’s voter roll removals = 0.8% of total voters
Yet Utah reported removing 45,342 via confirmation notice → actual number: 17,196
(Find them attached)
📜 State law:
Ineligible voters = non-citizens, felons (without rights restored), and institutionalized persons.
Utah reported no categorized data for most counties.
🎭 Memes aside, this is serious:
Utah may be in noncompliance with NVRA, with evidence of systemic reporting fraud to federal agencies.
If DOJ ...
Watching people attempt to "unskew" polls conducted by all walks of this industry—ranging from Nate Cohn at The New York Times to Spencer Kimball at Emerson College to Tim Malloy at Quinnipiac—all to deny Donald Trump's gains against Joe Biden with various voting blocs, is more than a little sad.
The slew of recent polls over two weeks—to include no less than four today alone—have simply confirmed prior findings published from other pollsters who have previously been "unskewed". That includes your's truly and our work at BIG DATA POLL, Mark Penn at Harvard University, Patrick Ruffini at Echelon Insights, and many others.
I'm temped to equate this with an Occam's razor-like situation. But this debate is more about likelihood than simplicity.
Here's the Presidential Vote Preference Trend for Biden v. Trump going back to August 2020. The Public Polling Project did not begin asking the Rematch Question for 2024 until September 2021. However, we can still make some pretty important and interesting observations.