In Nevada, Adam Laxalt would need the last of Washoe to break his way. The last dump in Clark went 63/33 for Masto, cutting Laxalt’s statewide lead from 9k to about 800 votes.
Lombardo’s statewide lead fell from 28.5k to 21.2k.
There is rural still out, but it really does come down to Washoe, where there is disagreement over whether these batches will actually be more GOP friendly or not.
In Arizona, it's a total shit show. They are slowing walking and we're not going to get a race call regardless. It's more of the same. Here's what to expect.
Officials claim a majority of the 17,140 Box 3 (GOP heavy) votes would be counted tonight.
When asked by the Lake Campaign, they implied that there were 3k remaining mailed in ballots that would be counted. If it is so low that’s great news for Republicans, but we think it may be higher, especially given all these ridiculous revisions and incompetence.
IMPORTANT: The 290k ED drop OVERALL is expected to be very good for Republicans. By party, it's R+13.3% statewide. However, there is some indication that the day of drop offs being reported tonight will be from more Democratic areas because they are closest to Maricopa County Tabulation and Election Center (MCTEC). It is entirely possible we don't begin to break into the larger batches of GOP friendly ballots until tomorrow night.
That being said, one of the bigger batches in Maricopa (114k) is massively Republican:
47% REP
24% DEM
29% IND
I know, it's frustrating and embarrassing. But believe me, they're not at all embarrassed.
I feel like tearing off my clothes and dancing in the rain (snow on Tuesday). Ofc I'm entirely too old to do that. But...
We were SO right.
Here's Snoop, who rapped "F--K Donald Trump" in 2017, now performing at a Trump supporting inauguration party.
Watch Live 3:00 PM EST — Robert Barnes and Rich Baris discuss in detail bombshell results within the Public Polling Project for Early Spring 2021, and more civil unrest amid the trial of Derek Chauvin for the death of George Floyd.
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Watching people attempt to "unskew" polls conducted by all walks of this industry—ranging from Nate Cohn at The New York Times to Spencer Kimball at Emerson College to Tim Malloy at Quinnipiac—all to deny Donald Trump's gains against Joe Biden with various voting blocs, is more than a little sad.
The slew of recent polls over two weeks—to include no less than four today alone—have simply confirmed prior findings published from other pollsters who have previously been "unskewed". That includes your's truly and our work at BIG DATA POLL, Mark Penn at Harvard University, Patrick Ruffini at Echelon Insights, and many others.
I'm temped to equate this with an Occam's razor-like situation. But this debate is more about likelihood than simplicity.
Here's the Presidential Vote Preference Trend for Biden v. Trump going back to August 2020. The Public Polling Project did not begin asking the Rematch Question for 2024 until September 2021. However, we can still make some pretty important and interesting observations.