Now that the charade is over and we know Trump will be indicted federally, if the polls do not radically change, the Republican Party has a serious problem and will likely end up fractured.
Let's take something Chris Christie said to use as an explainer. When asked what he would do to win over "Trump voters", he responded with contempt that he rejected the term because "he doesn't own them [voters]."
No, he doesn't.
But only the political and ruling class doesn't understand that his connection to these voters is not about ownership. To explain, let's break down "Trump voters" into two broad categories.
1. Mid-to-High propensity, mid-to-long term REP/REP-leaning voters who hate their leaders and their own party because they betray and fail them over and over.
2. Lower propensity to new voters, who have no real loyalty to the party and only vote Republican if and when he's on the ballot.
If we are to assume Trump is taken out via Lawfare, as multiple opponents have assured donors he will be for months, most of these voters will never vote for the "replacement" because they have no rational policy reason to do so.
That term may be unfamiliar to most, or to others they cannot understand how it would be the case. Their lives have not gotten better under anyone but him, thus they do not think like partisans, even if they are 1) who technically are partisans.
If Republicans thought the Ross Perot fracture was devastating to their national viability, this will be a diverse that make 1992 look like a lover's spat.
They feel he fought for them, and now he's being persecuted and prosecuted for it. Large numbers of them will just write him in if they successfully remove him from the ballot, and large numbers would just stay home. What they will not do, is support those who banked on him being prosecuted.
I feel like tearing off my clothes and dancing in the rain (snow on Tuesday). Ofc I'm entirely too old to do that. But...
We were SO right.
Here's Snoop, who rapped "F--K Donald Trump" in 2017, now performing at a Trump supporting inauguration party.
Watch Live 3:00 PM EST — Robert Barnes and Rich Baris discuss in detail bombshell results within the Public Polling Project for Early Spring 2021, and more civil unrest amid the trial of Derek Chauvin for the death of George Floyd.
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Theme Song: "Highway" By Grammy Considered Bowen Band
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Kennedy's out there doing gods work.
Crushing hospital incentives to mandate doctors/nurses get covid vaxxed.
RFK Jr whole HHS team💪
BTFOs whole med superstructure🤣
Rest of the admin👎
https://x.com/SecKennedy/status/1951372406968164599?t=giU1xvoiHjQnvmgMHzrS3g&s=19
I wonder sometimes if Trump likes getting his ass kicked nationally and worldwide🤔
He COULD have this success too!!
I worked as a bouncer when I was young (I was 6'1" and 250lbs so avg large but nothing special) and big guys are used to being big and so they get a certain amount of prestige without ever having to prove themselves a threat. I found that if I gave big guys a chance to back down without losing face the vast majority would see the wisdom in that path.
The whole reason Russia has been slow rolling the Ukraine war has been to give Trump an easy out and the stupid arrogant ass cannot see it. I will bet any amount of money that Trump has never in his life been in a real fist fight and yet he is trying to intimidate a man who even though he is half Trump's size he would physically level Trump in a actual fight. And then back that up with Russia having More missiles that are newer technology than the USA.
Like in the movie "WARGAMES" the only way to win is to NOT play the game.
Pray that someone with sense can talk it into Trump...
*I would put money on Putin kicking my ass too, but I ...
TROUBLE IN UTAH: AAG Dhillon DEMANDS VOTER REGISTRATION FILES FROM LT. GOV. DEIDRE
Buhaha. Let the games begin.
Follow this thread: https://x.com/AndrewPiskadlo/status/1951451189746475310
I walk through exactly what DOJ is alleging—and what Utah’s been hiding.
Deidre Henderson has until July 29 to cough up:
Full statewide voter file
Duplicate & invalid registrants
Breakdown of non-citizen, felony, and incompetency flags
Data Utah falsely reported to the feds (263.7% removal discrepancy)
📄 DOJ letter:
All attached
📊 Removal data (EAVS):
Utah’s voter roll removals = 0.8% of total voters
Yet Utah reported removing 45,342 via confirmation notice → actual number: 17,196
(Find them attached)
📜 State law:
Ineligible voters = non-citizens, felons (without rights restored), and institutionalized persons.
Utah reported no categorized data for most counties.
🎭 Memes aside, this is serious:
Utah may be in noncompliance with NVRA, with evidence of systemic reporting fraud to federal agencies.
If DOJ ...
Watching people attempt to "unskew" polls conducted by all walks of this industry—ranging from Nate Cohn at The New York Times to Spencer Kimball at Emerson College to Tim Malloy at Quinnipiac—all to deny Donald Trump's gains against Joe Biden with various voting blocs, is more than a little sad.
The slew of recent polls over two weeks—to include no less than four today alone—have simply confirmed prior findings published from other pollsters who have previously been "unskewed". That includes your's truly and our work at BIG DATA POLL, Mark Penn at Harvard University, Patrick Ruffini at Echelon Insights, and many others.
I'm temped to equate this with an Occam's razor-like situation. But this debate is more about likelihood than simplicity.
Here's the Presidential Vote Preference Trend for Biden v. Trump going back to August 2020. The Public Polling Project did not begin asking the Rematch Question for 2024 until September 2021. However, we can still make some pretty important and interesting observations.