Folks, I'm really asking the Lord to give me strength to deal with these people. The CAGOP sent out this email after numerous people to include someone who signed the bottom of it texted me early with a seemingly completely different story.
There are only TWO states on March 5—Alaska and Virginia—that use true proportional allocation and rounding rules without majority threshold provisions.
Puerto Rico on March 10 has a statewide majority threshold provision. If no candidate hits majority, the proportional allocation kicks in.
Only ONE state (Hawaii) has true proportional allocation on March 12 w/o a majority provision.
Again, parties have wide latitude on how they can allocate district and at-large delegates, pretending otherwise simply isn't true.
When Missouri moved up to March 12, they adopted the winner-take-most hybrid system with majority provisions for district delegates and proportional for at-large.
Repeatedly pointing to the March 15 Rule while seemingly blind to 1) majority threshold provisions in 2(ii) and 2) the fact MOST STATES before March 15 utilize them, is more than a little weird.
Honestly, this "la la la la la" finger in the ear nonsense these people are pulling is REALLY starting to resemble the Democratic Party.
I feel like tearing off my clothes and dancing in the rain (snow on Tuesday). Ofc I'm entirely too old to do that. But...
We were SO right.
Here's Snoop, who rapped "F--K Donald Trump" in 2017, now performing at a Trump supporting inauguration party.
Watch Live 3:00 PM EST — Robert Barnes and Rich Baris discuss in detail bombshell results within the Public Polling Project for Early Spring 2021, and more civil unrest amid the trial of Derek Chauvin for the death of George Floyd.
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Watching people attempt to "unskew" polls conducted by all walks of this industry—ranging from Nate Cohn at The New York Times to Spencer Kimball at Emerson College to Tim Malloy at Quinnipiac—all to deny Donald Trump's gains against Joe Biden with various voting blocs, is more than a little sad.
The slew of recent polls over two weeks—to include no less than four today alone—have simply confirmed prior findings published from other pollsters who have previously been "unskewed". That includes your's truly and our work at BIG DATA POLL, Mark Penn at Harvard University, Patrick Ruffini at Echelon Insights, and many others.
I'm temped to equate this with an Occam's razor-like situation. But this debate is more about likelihood than simplicity.
Here's the Presidential Vote Preference Trend for Biden v. Trump going back to August 2020. The Public Polling Project did not begin asking the Rematch Question for 2024 until September 2021. However, we can still make some pretty important and interesting observations.