Several people have noted Steve Deace's and other's latest remarks. Let me just say this...
First, "net favorables" are of course measured by (drum beat) POLLING! So, that's a logical fallacy. You cannot start by dismissing polling, but then rely on polling to make a cherry-picked argument because you think it boosts your argument. Not to mention DeSantis' net favorables are worse and getting worse than Trump's in most polling trends now.
Secondly, DeSantis is NOT beating Trump in endorsements, not even "early state" endorsements. DeSantis does have state-level endorsements. But as much as I hate to admit it, 538 is right to use a point system for endorsements because state levels don’t hold much empirical weight. And by the way, Trump has them too. Nevertheless, only national offices and gubernatorial offices hold significant weight, and Trump is thrashing DeSantis on this level: Trump leads in the House 61 to 6, in the Senate 10 to 0 and 2 to 1 for gubernatorial offices.
Also note, DeSantis has ZERO endorsements in South Carolina, which is of course an early state.
Lastly, the idea polls are off by 30-40 points is just NUTS. I'm not even going to respond to that.
I feel like tearing off my clothes and dancing in the rain (snow on Tuesday). Ofc I'm entirely too old to do that. But...
We were SO right.
Here's Snoop, who rapped "F--K Donald Trump" in 2017, now performing at a Trump supporting inauguration party.
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Watching people attempt to "unskew" polls conducted by all walks of this industry—ranging from Nate Cohn at The New York Times to Spencer Kimball at Emerson College to Tim Malloy at Quinnipiac—all to deny Donald Trump's gains against Joe Biden with various voting blocs, is more than a little sad.
The slew of recent polls over two weeks—to include no less than four today alone—have simply confirmed prior findings published from other pollsters who have previously been "unskewed". That includes your's truly and our work at BIG DATA POLL, Mark Penn at Harvard University, Patrick Ruffini at Echelon Insights, and many others.
I'm temped to equate this with an Occam's razor-like situation. But this debate is more about likelihood than simplicity.
Here's the Presidential Vote Preference Trend for Biden v. Trump going back to August 2020. The Public Polling Project did not begin asking the Rematch Question for 2024 until September 2021. However, we can still make some pretty important and interesting observations.