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Hey folks,
Thought this was particularly relevant. As I've been saying, it seems to me that these indictments made Donald Trump more relatable to not only white working class who feel abused, but naturally non-white voters who know the abuses of the state better than most.
Listen to this...
"On May 11, 2024, a rally for Donald Trump's 2024 presidential campaign in Wildwood, New Jersey, drew a crowd estimated between 80,000 and 100,000 attendees, marking it as the largest political rally in the state's history. The event featured endorsements from notable figures, including NFL Hall of Famer Lawrence Taylor, who publicly switched his political allegiance from Democrat to Republican, citing his meeting with Trump as the reason. The rally was widely discussed on social media, with supporters sharing images and expressing enthusiasm for Trump's policies and the significant turnout."
Holy moly. On Friday, I said during the show that 40,000 would be enormous for a Trump rally in Wildwood, New Jersey.
Folks, holy moly.
NeverTrump stepped on their own moment!
Chris Christie was caught on a hot mic ahead of his expected announcement that he's dropping out of the presidential race saying of Nikki Haley, "she's gonna get smoked, and you and I both know it."
"She's not up for this."
He further mentions before it drifts off that Ron DeSantis called him "petrified that I would..." AND it fades as they realize the mic is hot.
H/T The Recount
Watch Live 3:00 PM EST — Robert Barnes and Rich Baris discuss in detail bombshell results within the Public Polling Project for Early Spring 2021, and more civil unrest amid the trial of Derek Chauvin for the death of George Floyd.
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PA Voter Allegiances Changing in 2024 via Salena Zito https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2024/05/16/voter_allegiances_changing_in_2024_150954.html
Just occurred to me. This cycle, is there such a thing as a shy Brandon voter? The guy is an embarrassment on every level and is all but openly attacking his political opponent through stooges in the legal system. Are their people secretly planning to vote for him, but are embarrassed to reveal their preference? A little tongue in cheek, but I think there is a kernel of truth there.
Watching people attempt to "unskew" polls conducted by all walks of this industry—ranging from Nate Cohn at The New York Times to Spencer Kimball at Emerson College to Tim Malloy at Quinnipiac—all to deny Donald Trump's gains against Joe Biden with various voting blocs, is more than a little sad.
The slew of recent polls over two weeks—to include no less than four today alone—have simply confirmed prior findings published from other pollsters who have previously been "unskewed". That includes your's truly and our work at BIG DATA POLL, Mark Penn at Harvard University, Patrick Ruffini at Echelon Insights, and many others.
I'm temped to equate this with an Occam's razor-like situation. But this debate is more about likelihood than simplicity.
Here's the Presidential Vote Preference Trend for Biden v. Trump going back to August 2020. The Public Polling Project did not begin asking the Rematch Question for 2024 until September 2021. However, we can still make some pretty important and interesting observations.