GREAT QUESTIONS!
On the other question(s) surrounding disparities in comfort levels by region AND ideology, it very clearly favors a Democratic skew. How do we know?
When we nest comfort levels by gender, area AND ideology, liberals are overall more likely to say they're comfortable sharing their beliefs than moderates and conservatives, particularly when you consider how many in total are found in each area type.
For instance, checking out the chart below:
1) while liberals in rural areas don't appear to differ all that much in the "very uncomfortable" variable, they differ significantly on "somewhat uncomfortable", and
2) are a much smaller total number as a group than conservatives in rural areas vs. liberals in urban areas, and
3) the disparity between the 28.3% of rural conservatives being "very uncomfortable" vs. the 14.2% of urban liberals is enough to cause a real problem, let alone the significant disparity between the two ideologies in the "somewhat uncomfortable" variable, and
4) those problems are both compounded by suburban and rural conservatives being far more uncomfortable than suburban and rural liberals.
I feel like tearing off my clothes and dancing in the rain (snow on Tuesday). Ofc I'm entirely too old to do that. But...
We were SO right.
Here's Snoop, who rapped "F--K Donald Trump" in 2017, now performing at a Trump supporting inauguration party.
Watch Live 3:00 PM EST — Robert Barnes and Rich Baris discuss in detail bombshell results within the Public Polling Project for Early Spring 2021, and more civil unrest amid the trial of Derek Chauvin for the death of George Floyd.
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Watching people attempt to "unskew" polls conducted by all walks of this industry—ranging from Nate Cohn at The New York Times to Spencer Kimball at Emerson College to Tim Malloy at Quinnipiac—all to deny Donald Trump's gains against Joe Biden with various voting blocs, is more than a little sad.
The slew of recent polls over two weeks—to include no less than four today alone—have simply confirmed prior findings published from other pollsters who have previously been "unskewed". That includes your's truly and our work at BIG DATA POLL, Mark Penn at Harvard University, Patrick Ruffini at Echelon Insights, and many others.
I'm temped to equate this with an Occam's razor-like situation. But this debate is more about likelihood than simplicity.
Here's the Presidential Vote Preference Trend for Biden v. Trump going back to August 2020. The Public Polling Project did not begin asking the Rematch Question for 2024 until September 2021. However, we can still make some pretty important and interesting observations.