Spoke with someone in Clark.
That 35k was it for Clark yesterday. 45k I posted on X was a typo from a clerk. I was expecting more mail for that day today, but...
Mail turnout for Dems in the bluest areas was lower than expected.
No ballots appear to be accepted today. They are just staging machines for Tuesday.
Mail will continue to drop in but that really does appear to be it for weekend.
Hey folks,
Tucker Carlson shouted out 10X Votes in Michigan this weekend. The website is still getting a new user every few seconds.
This is how you humiliate the polls. Best thing about it, there's no consultant money in 10X Votes. Only results to be had.
P.S. The right has a real grifter and consultant problem. Despite it NOT being in my financial interests, I turned down working with probably a half dozen projects because I didn't believe in them. I did work with 10X because 1) the people involved aren't out to make money and 2) it's approach is based on a wealth of behavioral research regarding right vs. leftwing voters.
Ya know, Benny Johnson just reminded me about how Kamala Harris repeatedly said, "I'm speaking" or "Can I finish" during the debate with Mike Pence in 2020.
And then, that in turn, reminded me of this. Tell me it's not legit what she did.
Someone should absolutely make a meme out of this and replace Kamala with the Canadian Minister. If I had time, I would use an AI tool to change the voices and the photoshop her and Trump into the video.
Hell, she's even Canadian AND pretends to be offended by racist remarks that actually aren't racist.
Watch Live 3:00 PM EST — Robert Barnes and Rich Baris discuss in detail bombshell results within the Public Polling Project for Early Spring 2021, and more civil unrest amid the trial of Derek Chauvin for the death of George Floyd.
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Trump at 50% in ECU Poll. These are good folks who try to do the best job they can. ECU had Biden +2 in 2020. https://www.reflector.com/news/local/ecu-poll-trump-up-by-2-points-in-nc/article_56b27f70-9ab2-11ef-bfe6-cf5d1bfd3e05.html
Rogan endorsement last minute before the bros go out to vote.
He’s telling them to stop playing call of duty, and get your ass to the polling booth.
Normally this would be for supporters only, but I want everyone to see how much a GOTV effort from a group like 10XVotes.com can change the game.
This is the list of Already Voted we're tracking on a target population of low and no propensity voters the group wanted to increase participation amongst.
Just a few FYIs, first.
1. Democrats absolutely slapped Republicans with this group in 2020.
2. Michigan is a no party registration state, and as people who have followed me for a while known, inference models in these states can often overstate Democratic infers, and Michigan is no difference. Macomb, for instance, is inferred as majority Democratic, though Trump carried it with majorities in both 2016 and 2020. There are a lot of counties like that in Michigan.
So, here it is.
If the 1.7M target population being monitored, as of this morning 428,739 have Already Voted. Of that, Republicans (35.16%) lead Democrats (32.16%) this year by about 3 points, which is interestingly, just above...
Watching people attempt to "unskew" polls conducted by all walks of this industry—ranging from Nate Cohn at The New York Times to Spencer Kimball at Emerson College to Tim Malloy at Quinnipiac—all to deny Donald Trump's gains against Joe Biden with various voting blocs, is more than a little sad.
The slew of recent polls over two weeks—to include no less than four today alone—have simply confirmed prior findings published from other pollsters who have previously been "unskewed". That includes your's truly and our work at BIG DATA POLL, Mark Penn at Harvard University, Patrick Ruffini at Echelon Insights, and many others.
I'm temped to equate this with an Occam's razor-like situation. But this debate is more about likelihood than simplicity.
Here's the Presidential Vote Preference Trend for Biden v. Trump going back to August 2020. The Public Polling Project did not begin asking the Rematch Question for 2024 until September 2021. However, we can still make some pretty important and interesting observations.